III See below and … Megyn Kelly is voting for Trump!!
TRUMP CAN’T BEAT HILLARY? REALLY?
Exclusive: Joseph Farah deflates argument that Clinton will crush GOP front-runner
Whistle Blower Magazine from World Net Daily
March 27, 2016
I continue to be amazed by those pundits who suggest Donald Trump can’t beat Hillary Clinton.
There are three principal reasons for such faulty conclusions:
These folks are working under the strictures of an old paradigm. That is the one that says Democrats start out with a base of unlosable states and electoral votes and need only to win two or more swing states.
Polls taken before the Trump-Hillary campaign began
.Trump’s high negatives.
Let’s look at one big reason none of these factors will come into play after the conventions.
The success of Trump’s earth-shaking bid for the presidency to date is actually unprecedented in America’s modern political history.
Try to think of any figure in the last 100 years who burst onto the scene, having never sought political office, and made such an immediate impression – winning the passionate support of Republicans, independents and Democrats and so many primaries in diverse states to become the front-runner for the nomination of his party.
Immediately, some might say, “Well, he’s a billionaire who is self-funding his campaign!” That’s true. But it literally has nothing to do with his success. Why? Because he really hasn’t needed to spend any serious money to accomplish his objectives. In fact, several candidates who have dropped out of the running spent far more. You can’t point to a single victory by Trump in any state in which he spent more than his opponents.
Trump’s money simply hasn’t been a factor in his success. He hasn’t needed to spend it. That may be the most astonishing and revealing fact of this historic campaign so far. In other words, he’s saving it for Hillary!
Given what Trump has accomplished in what we call “earned” media, which is all free, what do you suppose he could do with $1 billion of his own money? Personally, I can’t even imagine.
But I can imagine the kind of legitimate attack ads that can be put together on Hillary. So far, she has not faced any real adversity except from her left flank. And she’s still floundering. There’s no enthusiasm for her. She can’t turn out crowd, and she can’t turn them on. Compare that to what Trump has mustered – record crowds, long voting lines, excitement and domination of the news delivered by people who despise him.
That’s the new paradigm I refer to above.
There’s simply never been a candidacy like this – deserved or not. And, remember, I say this as a Ted Cruz supporter.
That’s why the polls matching up Hillary versus Trump are meaningless today, as I’ve pointed out before. Just look back at the Ronald Reagan landslide of 1980 for the precedent. He was far behind Jimmy Carter in the polls at this stage of the campaign and won 44 states that year, including New York and California.
Trump has also demonstrated the ability to attract new voters – people who long ago dropped out of politics altogether because they were fed up with the choice between tweedle-dee and tweedle-dum. He has demonstrated his ability to win over die-hard Democrats. He has demonstrated his ability to win independents.
What about his high negatives?
Look at Hillary.
She is seen as dishonest. She is not likable. She has no accomplishments – in or out of politics – to cite. She’s not even scoring high among women.
The Trump versus Hillary matchup will be a very tough campaign. Who do you think is better positioned to slug it out? Has Hillary demonstrated an ability to win a national campaign? In 2008, she had everything going for her. The entire Democratic establishment was behind her then, too. But she couldn’t beat a new face with bigger promises. This year, she has struggled against Bernie Sanders, heretofore seen as a fringe old face.
I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again. Should Trump win the nomination, he will be positioned for a landmark drubbing of his opponent. It could be 1980 all over again.
II Yes, Donald Could Beat Hillary
Conventional wisdom says he has no chance. But what if he blows up all the old rules?
By WILLIAM MCGURN
The Wall Street Journal
March 28, 2016
Leave it to Al Sharpton to come up with the most compelling analogy for Mr. Trump: another New York promoter.
“The best way I can describe Donald Trump to friends is to say if Don King had been born white he’d be Donald Trump,” Mr. Sharpton told Politico earlier this year.
Mr. King, of course, was the wild-haired boxing promoter who put on epic fights that included the 1975 “Thrilla in Manila”—the third and final time Joe Frazier and Muhammad Ali met in the ring. Like Mr. Trump, Mr. King was accused of links to organized crime, invoking the Fifth Amendment in a deposition to Senate investigators when asked. Like Mr. Trump too, Mr. King has been sued by a number of his former associates, including Mr. Ali.
Before Barack Obama, Mr. King even supported George W. Bush.
For years Mr. King dominated his industry by combining an outsize personality with a willingness to blow up the rules. It is a similar brashness and defiance of convention that make Mr. Trump such a wild card today, which also suggests why it’s probably premature to write him off for November—assuming he will be the Republican squaring off against Hillary Clinton.
Let’s run through the arguments:
• Mr. Trump has high negatives. Notwithstanding the manifest enthusiasm of Trump voters for their man, they often fail to appreciate that he may turn off more voters than he turns on. Real Clear Politics puts the average of his negatives at 63.2% That would help explain his failure thus far to break 50% in any Republican primary, and it justifies worries about how he’d fare among, say, Latinos and women come November.
But Mrs. Clinton has very high negatives too. Her own RCP average is 53.9%.
Whom would the voters regard as the lesser of two evils? A candidate who is dishonest and untrustworthy at a political moment when distrust of government is ascendant? Or a candidate who is crude and inexperienced at a time when the terrorists we face are organized and sophisticated.
David Plouffe, who managed Barack Obama’s successful 2008 campaign, has been warning Democrats not to take a Clinton victory for granted in the event Mr. Trump is the Republican nominee.
He has also consistently reminded Democrats that the coalition that sent Mr. Obama to the White House—including women, minorities and young voters—is not one Mrs. Clinton can take for granted. She needs to earn their support, he says. Right now the Bernie Sanders wins are highlighting some of her soft spots, including with young women.
• Mrs. Clinton will use her knowledge and experience to make Mr. Trump look like an ignorant yahoo. Maybe. But again there are two caveats.
First, presidential match ups do not score like Oxford Union debates, and Mr. Trump plays his own game. For example, when Mrs. Clinton was readying the sexist meme against him, Mr. Trump took it away from her by bringing up the Bill Cosby-style allegations of rape and sexual misconduct against hubby Bill Clinton.
Who’s to say he won’t do the same in the debates? (“Did Goldman Sachs pay you to say that, Hillary?”) No one can know how Mr. Trump would debate Mrs. Clinton—or how voters would react.
Equally to the point, though pundits give great weight to candidate debates, plainly voters do not. In 2004 John Kerry demolished George W. Bush in the first debate, and the next two were generally given to him on points. But he still lost the election.
• Mrs. Clinton is a formidable candidate. The truth is, we don’t know how Mrs. Clinton would fare in a no-holds-barred debate with a tough challenger—because she’s not faced one in this primary. From the way the Democratic super-delegates have been awarded, to the number and timing of debates, the entire primary season has been orchestrated to serve Mrs. Clinton’s interests by a party that is mostly in her pocket.
This is why the last man standing is an angry, white-haired socialist. And yet the former first lady still can’t put him away. What does it say about large dissatisfactions within the Democratic Party that this cranky old guy continues to pull out victories?
In the long stretch between now and Election Day, many events could affect the outcome. More terror attacks à la Brussels or San Bernardino. More setbacks in Iraq or Syria. More belligerence from Vladimir Putin in Ukraine. And of course maybe even a Hillary indictment. Does anyone think any of this will help Mrs. Clinton?
Sure, it’s possible the GOP front-runner will implode, just as it’s possible all those polls showing Mrs. Clinton with a double-digit lead over Mr. Trump will indeed come to pass. But some of us who never thought he would get this far are a little more reluctant to be so categorical about an election that is still six months away.
III Donald Trump Votes May Set This New Record
By Joe Scudder April 28, 2016
The number of Donald Trump votes is in reach of shattering Republican records.
The number of Donald Trump votes in the primaries is… (forgive me) HUGE.
With his five blowout wins Tuesday night, Donald Trump has passed Mitt Romney’s popular vote total from four years ago and is on a trajectory that could land him more Republican votes than any presidential candidate in modern history – by a lot.
Trump surged to more than 10 million votes, according to totals that include Tuesday’s preliminary results across the Northeast. That’s already about 250,000 more than Romney earned in the entire 2012 primary season and 153,000 more than John McCain earned in 2008.
That presents an uncomfortable reality for anti-Trump forces: they’re attempting to thwart the candidate who is likely to win more Republican primary votes than any GOP contender in at least the last 36 years, and maybe ever.
Meanwhile, Democrat voter turnout is low. It has been declining over the last eight years.
The question facing conservative voters who oppose Trump is, as I wrote yesterday, should we hope all these voters are overruled at the Republican Convention in Cleveland, in favor of a candidate who does not draw as many votes?
A few days ago, Mitt Romney’s niece spoke to Megyn Kelly about why she, as a delegate, plans to stay loyal to Donald Trump. Notice her reasoning. Because there were record-setting numbers voting for Donald Trump in her state she doesn’t want to disenfranchise voters.
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